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Will Bitcoin close above $200,000 on Dec 31, 2026?
50%
YES +3.4%
implied probability · last 24h
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
24h volume
$18,402
Liquidity
$42,118
Traders
1,284
Ends in
252 days
Order book Spread 2¢
Buy YES
Buy NO
42¢$3,140$1,318
41¢$2,012$825
40¢$1,510$604
39¢$986$385
58¢$2,840$1,647
59¢$1,630$962
60¢$1,200$720
61¢$840$512
This market resolves YES if the BTC/USD closing price on December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC) is greater than or equal to $200,000.00 according to the official Coinbase BTC/USD daily close.
Resolves NO in all other cases. Disputes can be flagged within 48 hours of proposed resolution for a $5 fee — refunded in full if your rebuttal is upheld.
Resolution source
coinbase.com/price/bitcoin
Settlement
Auto-resolves Jan 1, 2027 · 48hr dispute window
@onchain_dom
5h
Risk premium too high here. ETF flows have cooled. Sitting in NO until macro shifts.
@lagos_trader
9h
Naira depreciation alone is moving local BTC bids. Long YES.
📈
No bets yet — be the first.
Halving cycle pricing in. Hashrate at ATH. $200K is the conservative target IMO — you can buy YES under 50¢ and ride this for 8 months.